Welcome to BUGS on 5 th Jun 2005 at 18:51:9 BUGS : Copyright (c) 1992 .. 1995 MRC Biostatistics Unit. All rights reserved. Version 0.600 for unix systems. For general release: please see documentation for disclaimer. The support of the Economic and Social Research Council (UK) is gratefully acknowledged. Bugs>compile("molla.bug") model fit.lineare; const N = 8, # numero di misure (da 3 a 10 dischetti) # [per i primi due non c'e' allungamento] Nmin = 3, pi2 = 9.869604; var l[N], t[N], # dati m.disco, m.molla, # dati 'costanti' c.l, m.l, # parametri retta allungamento tau.l, sigma.l, c.t, m.t, # parametri retta periodi tau.t, sigma.t, mu.l[N], mu.t[N], # valori legati deterministicamente alle masse k, g; # costante molla e accelerazione gravita' data in "molla.dat.S"; inits in "molla.in"; { # l Vs m for (i in 1:N) { mu.l[i] <- c.l + m.l * (m.molla + (Nmin-1 + i) * m.disco); l[i] ~dnorm(mu.l[i], tau.l); } c.l ~ dnorm(0.0, 1.0E-4); m.l ~ dnorm(0.0, 1.0E-4); tau.l ~ dgamma(1.0E-3, 1.0E-6); sigma.l <- 1/sqrt(tau.l); # t vs sqrt(m) for (i in 1:N) { mu.t[i] <- c.t + m.t * sqrt(m.molla + (Nmin-1 + i) * m.disco); t[i] ~dnorm(mu.t[i], tau.t); } c.t ~ dnorm(0.0, 1.0E-4); m.t ~ dnorm(0.0, 1.0E-4); tau.t ~ dgamma(1.0E-3, 1.0E-5); sigma.t <- 1/sqrt(tau.t); # k e g k <- 4*pi2 / (m.t*m.t) g <- m.l * k } Parsing model declarations. Loading data value file(s). Loading initial value file(s). Parsing model specification. Checking model graph for directed cycles. Generating code. Generating sampling distributions. Generating initial values Checking model specification. Choosing update methods. compilation took 00:00:00 Bugs>update(50000) time for 50000 updates was 00:00:01 Bugs>monitor(c.l) Bugs>monitor(m.l) Bugs>monitor(sigma.l) Bugs>monitor(c.t) Bugs>monitor(m.t) Bugs>monitor(sigma.t) Bugs>monitor(k) Bugs>monitor(g) Bugs>update(100000) time for 100000 updates was 00:00:02 Bugs>stats(c.l) mean sd 2.5% : 97.5% CI median sample -5.275E-2 1.249E-3 -5.527E-2 -5.027E-2 -5.273E-2 100000 Bugs>stats(m.l) mean sd 2.5% : 97.5% CI median sample 2.229E-1 2.073E-3 2.188E-1 2.271E-1 2.229E-1 100000 Bugs>stats(sigma.l) mean sd 2.5% : 97.5% CI median sample 1.003E-3 3.623E-4 5.627E-4 1.925E-3 9.219E-4 100000 Bugs>stats(c.t) mean sd 2.5% : 97.5% CI median sample -3.231E-2 1.317E-2 -5.872E-2 -5.996E-3 -3.223E-2 100000 Bugs>stats(m.t) mean sd 2.5% : 97.5% CI median sample 9.683E-1 1.736E-2 9.336E-1 1.003E+0 9.682E-1 100000 Bugs>stats(sigma.t) mean sd 2.5% : 97.5% CI median sample 5.507E-3 2.000E-3 3.072E-3 1.061E-2 5.062E-3 100000 Bugs>stats(k) mean sd 2.5% : 97.5% CI median sample 4.215E+1 1.517E+0 3.923E+1 4.529E+1 4.212E+1 100000 Bugs>stats(g) mean sd 2.5% : 97.5% CI median sample 9.396E+0 3.499E-1 8.731E+0 1.011E+1 9.388E+0 100000 Bugs>q()