"Observation of a randomly tossed coin remaining vertical"
by G. D'Agostini
(this is not a joke, at least as far as facts are concerned)
The observation of this rare event is one of the dreams
of all those interested in probability: one says, in fact,
"probability of head and probability of tail are 1/2, IF
the coin does not remain vertical".
The facts:
- Place : Autogrill Fiano (Roma, Italy);
- Date : November 15, 1998, short after 12:00 (noon);
- Coin : 50 lire (usual big one);
- Surface: a stack of paper shopping bags, practically flat;
- Motivation of the experiment: none; no intention to have
that result.
Conclusions: perhaps a Frequentist would say that a 50 lire
coin, tossed in that place and at that precise hour
has 100% probability of remain vertical...
Side remark: I was driving to my parents for lunch. When the event
happened, I decided to take note of the date, and
realized that it was my mother' birstsday, which
I had absolutely forgotten that morning!!
Had that event exoteric meaning? I do not believe it,
but I cannot exclude it ...
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"Can a can of beans contain tomatos?"
The facts:
- Place : Ferney-Voltaire (F), close to Geneva (CH),
by Carlo Bosio (Carlo.Bosio@cern.ch), where
we had organized a "pasta e fagioli".
- Date : November 21, 1999, evening (and Sunday).
- Can : can of beans bought at La Placette store, Geneva,
nominally containing beans ("Fagioni borlotti"),
from a never heard before Italian make Fiorino.
- Result : at the moment where we had to add the beans to the sauce,
and opended the can, the can turn out
to contain pealed tomatos !!
As no other can of beans was available in the house,
we were rather disappointed (first case of "fagiolus
interruptus" with unpredictable psycological results...).
The basic sauce of olio-cipolle-cotiche-pomodori-sedano
was used for an unconventional "pasta e lenticchie".
Comment: Thanks, Luck Godness (Dea della Fortuna), for letting
us experience such a very improbable event, but we
would have preferred a $10,000,000 win.
And, expecially, we hope this does not exaust our turn ....
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General conclusion from a frequentistic point of view: this kind
of strange events ALWAYS happen Sundays of November...