Bibliography

1
A. Fauci at NBC News, November 16, 2020,
https://youtu.be/8CG8aI4XCGw?t=32.

2
Moderna Inc., Press Release, November 16, 2020,
https://investors.modernatx.com/news-releases/news-release-details/modernas-covid-19-vaccine-candidate-meets-its-primary-efficacy.

3
International Organization for Standardization (ISO), Guide to the expression of uncertainty in measurement, Geneva, Switzerland, 1993.

4
G. D'Agostini, The Waves and the Sigmas (To Say Nothing of the 750 GeV Mirage), arXiv:1609.01668 [physics.data-an].

5
G. D'Agostini and A. Esposito, Checking individuals and sampling populations with imperfect tests, arXiv:2009.04843 [q-bio.PE].

6
Pfizer Inc., Press Release, November 18, 2020,
https://www.pfizer.com/news/press-release/press-release-detail/pfizer-and-biontech-conclude-phase-3-study-covid-19-vaccine.

7
M. Plummer, JAGS: A Program for Analysis of Bayesian Graphical Models Using Gibbs Sampling, Proceedings of the 3rd International Workshop on Distributed Statistical Computing (DSC 2003), March 20–22, Vienna, Austria. ISSN 1609-395X, http://mcmc-jags.sourceforge.net/ .

8
R Core Team (2018), R: A language and environment for statistical computing. R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria.
https://www.R-project.org/ .

9
M. Plummer, rjags: Bayesian Graphical Models using MCMC.
R package version 4-10, https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=rjags .