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Uncertain numbers are numbers in respect of which 
we are in a condition of uncertainty. They can be the 
number associated with the outcome of a die, to the number 
which will be read on a scale when a measurement 
is performed, or to the numerical
value of a physics quantity. In the sequel, we will
call uncertain numbers also ``random variables'', 
to come close to what physicists are used to, but one should 
not think, then, that ``random variables'' are only associated
with the outcomes of repeated experiments.  
Stated  simply, to define a random variable  means to find a rule which allows a real number 
to be related univocally
(but not necessarily  biunivocal)
to an event (
means to find a rule which allows a real number 
to be related univocally
(but not necessarily  biunivocal)
to an event ( ).
One could write this expression
).
One could write this expression
 . 
Discrete variables assume a countable range, finite or not.
We shall indicate 
the variable 
with
. 
Discrete variables assume a countable range, finite or not.
We shall indicate 
the variable 
with  and 
its numerical realization
with
and 
its numerical realization
with  ;  
and differently from
 other notations, the symbol
;  
and differently from
 other notations, the symbol  (in place of
 
(in place of  or
 or  ) is also used for discrete variables.
) is also used for discrete variables.
Here is a list of definitions, properties and notations:
- Probability function:
-  
 To each possible value of we associate a degree of belief: we associate a degree of belief:
|  | (4.1) |  
 
 
  , being a probability, must satisfy the following properties: , being a probability, must satisfy the following properties:
 
 
- Cumulative distribution function:
- 
|  | (4.5) |  
 
 
 Properties:
 
 
- Expectation value (mean):
- 
|  E ![$\displaystyle [X] = \sum_i x_i f(x_i)\,.$](img395.png) | (4.10) |  
 
 
 In general, given a function of of , ,
| E ![$\displaystyle [g(X)] = \sum_i g(x_i) f(x_i)\,.$](img397.png) | (4.11) |  
 
 
 E![$ [\cdot]$](img398.png) is a linear operator: is a linear operator:
| E ![$\displaystyle [a X+b] = a$](img399.png) E ![$\displaystyle [X] + b \,.$](img400.png) | (4.12) |  
 
 
 
- Variance and standard deviation:
-  
 
Variance:
 
 Standard deviation:
|  | (4.14) |  
 
 
 Transformation properties:
 
 
- Binomial distribution:
-  
 
 (hereafter `` (hereafter `` '' stands for ``follows''); '' stands for ``follows''); stands for binomial with parameters stands for binomial with parameters (integer) and (integer) and (real): (real):
 
|  | (4.17) |  
 
 
 Expectation value, standard deviation and variation coefficient:
 
  is often indicated by is often indicated by . .
- Poisson distribution:
-  
 
 : :
 
|  | (4.21) |  
 
 
 ( is an integer, is an integer, is real.) is real.)
 Expectation value, standard deviation and variation coefficient:
 
 
- Binomial 
 Poisson: Poisson:
- 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
  
 Next: Continuous variables: probability and
 Up: Random variables
 Previous: Random variables
     Contents 
Giulio D'Agostini
2003-05-15