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Uncertain numbers are numbers in respect of which
we are in a condition of uncertainty. They can be the
number associated with the outcome of a die, to the number
which will be read on a scale when a measurement
is performed, or to the numerical
value of a physics quantity. In the sequel, we will
call uncertain numbers also ``random variables'',
to come close to what physicists are used to, but one should
not think, then, that ``random variables'' are only associated
with the outcomes of repeated experiments.
Stated simply, to define a random variable
means to find a rule which allows a real number
to be related univocally
(but not necessarily biunivocal)
to an event (
).
One could write this expression
.
Discrete variables assume a countable range, finite or not.
We shall indicate
the variable
with
and
its numerical realization
with
;
and differently from
other notations, the symbol
(in place of
or
) is also used for discrete variables.
Here is a list of definitions, properties and notations:
- Probability function:
-
To each possible value of
we associate a degree of belief:
 |
(4.1) |
, being a probability, must satisfy the following properties:
- Cumulative distribution function:
-
 |
(4.5) |
Properties:
- Expectation value (mean):
-
E![$\displaystyle [X] = \sum_i x_i f(x_i)\,.$](img395.png) |
(4.10) |
In general, given a function
of
,
E![$\displaystyle [g(X)] = \sum_i g(x_i) f(x_i)\,.$](img397.png) |
(4.11) |
E
is a linear operator:
E E![$\displaystyle [X] + b \,.$](img400.png) |
(4.12) |
- Variance and standard deviation:
-
Variance:
Standard deviation:
 |
(4.14) |
Transformation properties:
- Binomial distribution:
-
(hereafter ``
'' stands for ``follows'');
stands for binomial with parameters
(integer) and
(real):
 |
(4.17) |
Expectation value, standard deviation and variation coefficient:
is often indicated by
.
- Poisson distribution:
-
:
 |
(4.21) |
(
is an integer,
is real.)
Expectation value, standard deviation and variation coefficient:
- Binomial
Poisson:
-
Next: Continuous variables: probability and
Up: Random variables
Previous: Random variables
Contents
Giulio D'Agostini
2003-05-15