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P.S. Laplace, Mémoire sur la probabilité des causes par les événements”, Mémoire de l'Académie royale des Sciences de Paris (Savants étrangers), Tome VI, p. 621, 1774, https://gallica.bnf.fr/ark:/12148/bpt6k77596b/f32 .

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P.S. Laplace, Essai philosophique sur les probabilités, 1814,
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