Now the problem arises because of a curious ideology
of statistic thinking (`frequentism')
that forbids to speak of probability of causes.
It is not a matter of a different way of making the calculations,
but an ideological refuse to calculate them!
Nevertheless - and this is the worst! -
most people, even if they think to adhere to the
frequentistic approach (``probability is
the long run limit of relative frequency'', and so on),
are not even aware that, according
to this unfortunately still dominant school, they should not be
allowed to speak about probability of true values,
probability of causes, and so on.
As a matter of fact, when I try to tell it
in seminars, people usually stare at me as I had just landed from
a far planet.
Giulio D'Agostini
2012-01-02