At the first stage the answers to the questions are prompt
and unanimous:
we consider all boxes equally likely,
thus assigning 1/6 probability to each of them;
we consider Black and White
equally likely too, with probabilities 1/2.
Not satisfied with these answers, I also encourage `players' to express
their confidence on the hypotheses of interest
by means of a virtual lottery at zero entry cost.
Specifically, I ask,
if you are promised a large prize
for making the correct prediction,
which box or ball color would you
choose?
More precisely, is there any reason
to prefer a particular color or a particular composition?
Also, in this case there is a general consensus on the fact that
any choice is equally good, in the sense that there is no reason
to be blamed if we finally miss the prize.